Women in Public Life

Quote:

“An increase in the influence of women in public life has often been associated with national decline. The later Romans complained that, although Rome ruled the world, women ruled Rome. In the tenth century, a similar tendency was observable in the Arab Empire, the women demanding admission to the professions hitherto monopolised by men. ‘What,’ wrote the contemporary historian, Ibn Bessam, ‘have the professions of clerk, tax-collector or preacher to do with women? These occupations have always been limited to men alone.’ Many women practised law, while others obtained posts as university professors. There was an agitation for the appointment of female judges, which, however, does not appear to have succeeded. Soon after this period, government and public order collapsed, and foreign invaders overran the country. The resulting increase in confusion and violence made it unsafe for women to move unescorted in the streets, with the result that this feminist movement collapsed.”

The Fate of Empires by Sir John Glubb Published 1976

Will The Fallout From “Qatargate” Splatter The European Commission?

Authored by Nick Corbishley via NakedCapitalism.com,

As the Qatargate scandal widens, questions are being asked as to whether its reverberations will reach the Commission, the EU’s executive branch. Recent revelations suggest the EU’s Chief Diplomat Josep Borrell could be implicated.

Since erupting last weekend with police raids on MEPs’ homes and offices in the European parliament, the Qatargate scandal has done nothing but mushroom. What began as a criminal probe into current and former MEPs and parliamentary assistants implicated in a bribery ring aimed at burnishing the public image of the current World Cup host has widened significantly — not only in terms of the number of people involved but also the number of organizations and third countries, which now also include Morocco.

As the scandal grows, both the Parliament and the European Commission are locked in a frantic damage control mission. European Parliament president Roberta Metsola on Thursday (15 December) pledged to unveil a “wide-ranging reform package” in January, which will include measures to bolster whistleblower protections, a ban on all unofficial parliamentary friendship groups (groups of MEPs discussing relations with non-EU countries) and a review of enforcement of code of conduct rules for MEPs.

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Fallout Spreads

For the moment almost all of the focus is understandably on the European Parliament, but questions are beginning to be asked as to whether the fallout will spread to the EU’s executive branch, the European Commission. Asked whether he is worried about such an outcome, Didier Reynders, the EU Commissioner for justice, told Politico that it is “all the time a possibility”.

Commission President Ursula Von der Leyen, herself no stranger to corruption allegations, both in her native Germany and in Brussels, said the following in a Monday morning press conference:

The allegations against the VP of Parliament [Eva Kaili] are of the most concern, very serious. It’s a question of confidence of our people in our institutions, it needs highest standards. I proposed the creation of an independent ethnics body that covers all EU institutions (in March).[1] For us it is very critical to have not only strong rules, but the same rules covering all the EU institutions, and not to allow for any exemptions.

Von der Leyen added that the Commission is looking at its own transparency register for all logged meetings between staff and Qatari officials. That is not as comforting as it may sound given the flagrant disregard for transparency and accountability her Commission has shown in its acquisition of billions of COVID-19 vaccines.

What’s more, as the non-profit research and campaign group Corporate Europe Observatory notes, the Commission’s 2014 transparency reforms apply only to the top 250 most
senior officials in the Commission. Many lower level officials from among the 30,000+
Commission staff regularly meet with lobbyists but they are not included within the rules.

EU’s Biggest Corruption Scandal in Years

Von der Leyen also refused to answer questions about the European Vice President Margaritis Schinas’ connections with Qatar, provoking umbrage from the Brussels press corps. Margaritis, also from Greece, represented the EU at the opening ceremony of the World Cup, and has been heavily criticized for lavishing praise on the “improving” labor conditions in Qatar, where at least 6,500 migrants workers from India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal and Pakistan died between 2011, the year the World Cup was awarded to the country, and 2020.

Politico describes Qatargate as the biggest corruption scandal to hit the EU in years, though it faces a run for its money from the blossoming scandal over the Commission’s deeply opaque dealings with Pfizer and other vaccine makers, which is now the subject of an investigation by the European Public Prosecutor’s Office. The EU’s ombudsman Emily O’Reilly branded the Commission’s refusal to disclose the text messages between von der Leyen and Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla as “maladministration.”

In contrast to Qatargate, that scandal has been studiously ignored by Europe’s legacy media despite the staggering sums of money involved (tens of billions of dollars to date to buy up to 1.8 billion COVID-19 vaccines), the number of people affected (anyone who pays taxes in the EU and felt compelled by the EU’s vaccine passport rules to take a medical product they didn’t want) and the seniority of those implicated, including Von der Leyen herself and Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies.

Von der Leyen herself has come under fire for concealing and/or deleting records of her conversations with Bourla prior to the Commission’s purchase of up to 1.8 billion vaccines. As for Bourla, he has twice refused to give testimony to a European Parliament special committee on the matter.

Borrell in the Mix?

For his part, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and security policy Josep Borrell described Qatargate “very, very worrisome.” But he was also at pains to emphasize that no one in the European Commission’s diplomatic service, which he heads, is under investigation: “There is nothing and no one being referred to neither from the External Action Service nor from the delegations.”

But that may change in the coming days or weeks. Former European Parliament Vice President Eva Kaili, who is at the center of the bribery allegations, denies receiving the €1.5 million of cash found at her home and in her father’s possession [2] and claims she was acting exclusively on orders from above. According to Kaili’s lawyer, Michalis Dimitrakopoulos, those orders came directly from EU Parliament President Roberta Metsola and Borrell.

From Euractiv:

In an interview with Greek MEGA TV channel, Dimitrakopoulos said Kaili has nothing to do with bribery from Qatar.
“What the public opinion needs to know is that Qatar did not need to bribe Ms Kaili because she went to Qatar as a representative of the European Parliament, the speeches, the interviews she gave were after the agreement and order of the President Roberta Metsola,” Dimitrakopoulos said.
He added that documents prove this and explained that Kaili did not take any initiative or have an agenda.
“Ms Metsola sent her to Qatar, what she was going to say had Ms Metsola’s approval […] Ms Metsola had also sent EU official Mr Roberto Bendini with her to watch all of Ms Kaili’s meetings”, he explained.
“I am telling you the words of Ms Kaili, she was carrying out a plan that had started in 2019, High Representative Josep Borrell and Ylva Johansson [Commissioner for Home Affairs] had decided at the Commission level, to cooperate with Qatar, Kuwait and Oman,” the lawyer added.

For the moment, these are just leaked allegations made by the lawyer of a suspect in a very serious corruption investigation, and should be treated as such. But one thing that is clear is that Borrell, as Europe’s chief diplomat, played a leading role in forging closer ties with Qatar.

MEPs now suspect Qatar’s palm-greasing may have unduly influenced negotiations on the highly lucrative EU-Qatar aviation agreement. Signed last year, the deal granted Qatar Airlines unlimited access to the EU’s vast market of 450 million people while giving European airlines access to Qatar’s somewhat smaller market of 2.9 million people. The first deal of its kind ever to be signed by the Commission, it was heavily criticised by major EU airlines and unions, but defended by the EU, which claimed it would provide “opportunities for both sides.” An EU spokesperson said on Wednesday the agreement was reached with “full transparency.”

In the end, Europe’s desperate hunger for energy sources, which was already readily apparent even by the summer of 2021, probably played a much larger part in securing the deal than a few greased palms. On his first visit to the country as EU’s chief diplomat, in September 2021, Borrell praised Qatar as a “reliable energy partner”, which in these times, he said, is “especially important.” He also announced EU plans to build a fully fledged diplomatic mission in Doha this year, which was inaugurated in September.

As previously mentioned, Morocco is also implicated in this ever-widening scandal. According to Spanish journalist Ignacio Cembrero, it is the country’s foreign intelligence services, the DGED, that has been bribing MEPs, presumably to frustrate any resolutions in favor of Western Sahara, the resource-rich former Spanish colony it invaded and occupied in 1975. Morocco has also been accused this year of using Pegasus spyware to target the mobile phones of around 200 Spanish government officials, including the Prime Minister Pedro Sanchéz and then Defense Minister Margarita Robles.

Regular readers may recall that over the last year the North African country has garnered increasing support for its “autonomy” plan for Western Sahara among big hitters in the EU including Germany, the Netherlands and Spain. The plan would essentially involve formalizing Morocco’s permanent occupation of the resource-rich region and has already received the blessing of both Israel and the US.

Another Toothless Ethics Body

For the moment, it is far from clear just how far this burgeoning scandal will reach. One thing that is clear is that the reputational damage will be large and lasting. The European Union’s ability to lecture the misbehaving governments of Member States and third-party countries on how to govern will be further diminished.

EU institutions need to get their house in order once and for all, and fast. And that is unlikely to happen. The EU ombudsman Emily O’Reilly said this week that Von der Leyen’s proposed plan for a new ethics body is likely to end up as “something with no teeth, something that will possibly sit there passively, wait for complaints to come in.”

What the body really needs, O’Reilly said, is investigatory and sanctions powers. But that might actually threaten to derail the gravy train Brussels has become.

And the problem is not just illegal cash payments stuffed away in paper bags and briefcases; it is the vast lobbying apparatus that has built up in Brussels, which is now the second largest lobbying capital in the world after Washington. As in Washington, lobbying reaches into just about every aspect of governance. In its 2015 report, CEO reported that lobbyists representing businesses and trade associations made up 75% of all high-level Commission lobby meetings and more than 80% in certain areas such as financial regulation or the internal market.

The inevitable result, as in Washington, is that policies are made almost exclusively in the service of vested corporate interests. Sometimes corporate lobbies even draft the EU’s legislation. This is the business model of modern governance.

Lastly, if Borrell is indeed caught up in this burgeoning scandal and, by some miracle, loses his job, it would be no great loss to the EU’s 450 million citizens. He is the least diplomatic of diplomats. Just about every time he speaks, whether on the wonders of European colonialism or the vast untamed jungle that lies beyond Europe’s borders, damage is inflicted on the EU’s relations with some other part of the world. Since long before the Ukraine conflict he has played a leading role in escalating tensions with Russia, the EU’s biggest neighbor and energy supplier.

He is also no stranger to scandal, having been convicted, in 2018, of insider trading in Spain. That resulted in him being placed on the Spanish market regulator’s blacklist. The ensuing scandal triggered calls for his resignation as Spain’s then-Foreign Minister. But he resisted those calls and in 2020 was bumped up to the European Commission, as so often happens with scandal-tarnished domestic politicians in the EU.

Poland Preparing to Seize Western Ukraine

The authorities of the Polish Republic are preparing to implement a plan to seize the regions of Western Ukraine – Niezależny Dziennik Polityczny (NDP)

According to her, this plan includes the entry of Polish troops into the territory of the Ukrainian “Eastern Kresy” and the subsequent holding of referendums on joining Poland.

It is noteworthy that the author of the material considers this the second stage of expansion. And she considers the first stage of the plan already fulfilled.

“The result of the first stage of this plan was that Warsaw already has full political and financial control of the Kiev government. The second stage is the preparation of the Poles for hostilities”, Kramer writes.

She notes that Poland is actively preparing for the implementation of the second part of the plan. For this, the country’s authorities have created special paramilitary training camps. They train mobilized citizens who acquire basic warfare skills.

The article also states that Warsaw intends to increase the size of the army by 17,000 people in 2023 and conduct major military exercises in which 250,000 troops will be involved.

The columnist even names the start date of the likely Polish invasion of Ukraine – May 4th. She claims that the Polish military leadership believes that by this time the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have used up all their combat potential in battles with the Russian army.Therefore, Ukrainian troops will not be able to fight on two fronts at the same time.

As for foreign mercenaries fighting in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, most of them are Poles. It is clear which side they are on.

The author of the article claims that the Polish command expects to end the intervention quickly. She predicts that after the capture of the western part of Ukraine, Warsaw will announce a referendum on July 11.

Kramer writes that this date is symbolic, since on this day in 1943 the massacre of the Polish population of Volhynia, organized by Ukrainian nationalists, reached its climax.

As reported in the publication Dziennik Polityczny stated that almost the whole world already knows that Poland plans to return its historical lands – Kresy Wschodni – on the territory of Ukraine.

#source

https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh

@Slavyangrad

Ukraine’s Brain Drain

Our sources report that almost 80% of the highly qualified personnel left Ukraine this year.

All during the war, our allies, instead of helping Ukraine, they engaged in brain drain.
They even poach medical personnel who are now gaining experience in difficult circumstances, so to speak, getting trained in the field and going through their “hell” in order to become even better in real experience. Such doctors are immediately offered good conditions, salaries and jobs in the EU countries.

The rest of the Ukrainians flee the country because they understand all the doom – that sooner or later you will be sent to the front line in a meat grinder, and if you are lucky, you stay alive and do not become disabled, then you will be 100% “psychologically disabled”. The war does not go unnoticed.

It has now dawned on almost everyone that the coming decades will be extraordinarly difficult for the country and the common people, which means they need to go where this hurricane can be safely waited out.

War is Expensive

Colleagues, war is an expensive business.
This is understood in the Kremlin, so they chose the strategy of “boa constrictor”, the slow strangulation of the entire economy, so that Ukraine becomes too heavy a burden for the West.
If earlier it cost $2-3 billion to serve a “social case” in Ukraine, now it is already $5-7 billion, and in 2023, with the economy not working, $8-10 billion is predicted if the Office of the President refuses to lower the hryvnia and raise tariffs.
Now Zaluzhny [Chief of the General Staff] is asking for at least 300 tanks, which cost at least $600-$900 million (of Soviet era), 600 normal infantry fighting vehicles is about $500 million, and 500 good howitzers is 1 billion, not counting ammo, that is, about $2.5 – $3 billion. According to him, this is necessary for a new offensive.
At the same time, it should be taken into account that the loss of Ukraine in a positional war is about 4-8 tanks per week, not counting other light vehicles. [category saving ukrainians from themselves]

The Third-Worldization of Europe

High gas prices in the EU will remain for 20 years, as long-term contracts with the US are concluded for this period

This was stated by the outgoing general director of the Austrian energy concern Energie AG Werner Steinecker.

According to Steinecker, gas in Europe will no longer be as cheap as it used to be, even if the current global processes are regulated.

The EU buys liquefied natural gas from the US on a take-or-pay basis. Contracts are concluded for 20 years, so the countries of Europe will have to pay any price.

#source

U.S. To Send More Wunderwaffen To Ukraine … two yawns

via Moon of Alabama

A new round of Wunderwaffen deliveries to Ukraine is taking place. It is unlikely to change the strategic or even operational picture of the war.

The U.S. and its ‘allies’ are engaged in a boil-the-frog operation in which they steadily increase the lethality and complexity of arms and other support they deliver to Ukraine. At some point in time this process will cross Russian red lines. That’s when it will become really interesting

The newest gimmick to be deployed is the Patriot air defense system likely soon to be followed by main battle tanks:

The U.S. is poised to approve sending a Patriot missile battery to Ukraine, finally agreeing to an urgent request from Ukrainian leaders desperate for more robust weapons to shoot down incoming Russian missiles, U.S. officials said Tuesday.The approval is likely to come later this week and could be announced as early as Thursday, said three officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the decision is not final and has not been made public. Two of the officials said the Patriot will come from Pentagon stocks and be moved from another country overseas.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy pressed Western leaders as recently as Monday to provide more advanced weapons to help his country in its war with Russia. The Patriot would be the most advanced surface-to-air missile system the West has provided to Ukraine to help repel Russian aerial attacks.

During a video conference on Monday, Zelenskyy told host Germany and other leaders of the Group of Seven industrial powers that his country needed long-range missiles, modern tanks, artillery, missile batteries and other high-tech air defense systems to counter Russian attacks that have knocked out electricity and water supplies for millions of Ukrainians.

He acknowledged that, “Unfortunately, Russia still has an advantage in artillery and missiles.”

Well, yes, the artillery advantage the Russian army has in the current battle for Bakhmut is nine to one or even higher:

“For every artillery piece we have, they have nine,” said one soldier.

NATO no longer has the equipment and ammunition reserves to change that.

As for the Patriot, the “Phased Array Tracking Radar to Intercept on Target”: Training for them takes quite some time and unless Ukrainians have already been secretly trained on them for several months they will have to be deployed with NATO soldiers or ‘former’ soldiers to have any effect:

Asked about training, Brig. Gen. Patrick Ryder, the Pentagon press secretary, said that in general the U.S. takes those needs into consideration when providing complicated weapons systems to Ukraine, such as the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, known as HIMARS. Currently U.S. forces are training Ukrainian troops on a number of systems, including the HIMARS, in other European countries, such as Germany.

The entire system, which includes a phased array radar, a control station, computers and generators, typically requires about 90 soldiers to operate and maintain, however only three soldiers are needed to actually fire it, according to the Army.

The HIMARS missiles, the previous Wunderwaffen, are now routinely shot down by Russian missile and air defense systems:

The anti-aircraft defence forces shot down two drones in the areas of Zhytlovka and Kremennaya (Lugansk People’s Republic).In addition, two HIMARS MLRS rounds were intercepted near Perovomaysk (Lugansk People’s Republic) and a HARM rocket near Makarovka (Kherson region).

The Patriot battery to be deployed to Ukraine is likely one of those that the U.S. currently has in Poland. A German Patriot unit will be deployed to replace it.

The phased array radar that Patriot systems use are good but they are also a weakness. They are visible from satellites with Synthetic Aperture Radar. As researchers have found some years ago:

Amid a busy few weeks of nuclear-related news, an Israeli researcher made a very surprising OSINT discovery that flew somewhat under the radar. As explained in a Medium article, Israeli GIS analyst Harel Dan noticed that when he accidentally adjusted the noise levels of the imagery produced from the SENTINEL-1 satellite constellation, a bunch of colored Xs suddenly appeared all over the globe.

SENTINEL-1’s C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) operates at a centre frequency of 5.405 GHz, which conveniently sits within the range of the military frequency used for land, airborne, and naval radar systems (5.250-5.850 GHz)—including the AN/MPQ-53/65 phased array radars that form the backbone of a Patriot battery’s command and control system. Therefore, Harel correctly hypothesized that some of the Xs that appeared in the SENTINEL-1 images could be triggered by interference from Patriot radar systems.

Using this logic, he was able to use the Xs to pinpoint the locations of Patriot batteries in several Middle Eastern countries, including Qatar, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.


bigger

While SENTINEL-1 images of Ukraine will now likely be censored there is no need for Russia to use those. It has its own SAR systems:

Kondor, GRAU index 14F133, is a series of Earth imaging or military reconnaissance satellites developed by NPO Mashinostroyeniya for the Russian Aerospace Defence Forces which in 2015 became the Russian Space Forces and export customers.

Kondor satellites are equipped to carry either synthetic aperture radar or electro-optical imaging payloads, with the first satellite, and are launched using the Strela carrier rocket, developed by NPO Mashinostroyeniya from retired UR-100 NUTTKh missiles.

Process the SAR data, look for ‘noise’ crosses, program the coordinates into a number of suicide drones of Iranian design and send them off. This should take no more than an hour. The Russian Reconnaissance Strike Complex is designed to do that:

The Reconnaissance Strike Complex (разведивательно-ударный комплех-RYK) was designed for the coordinated employment of high-precision, long- range weapons linked to real-time intelligence data and precise targeting provided to a fused intelligence and fire-direction center. The RYK functioned at operational depths using surface-to-surface missile systems and aircraft-delivered “smart” munitions. The Reconnaissance Fire Complex (разведивательно-огновой комплех ROK) was the tactical equivalent.

The Reconnaissance Fire System (ROS) is designed to detect, engage and destroy enemy targets in near-real time within the range of tactical units (maneuver battalion and brigade with supporting artillery). On occasion, an artillery brigade or helicopter gunship brigade (a tactical/operational formation) could conduct ROS missions. However, Army Corps and Army Group units normally conduct RYS missions-engaging, detecting and destroying operational targets in near-real time using longer-range reconnaissance and strike systems (especially SSM and aviation systems).

Will the Patriot radar move during the Russian reaction time interval between reconnaissance and strike? I have my doubts.

Wikipedia says that a Patriot battery costs about $1 billion. The radar is the thing that makes these so expensive. Each of its missile costs about $3 million. The suicide drones are maybe $10,000 each. Now do the math …

The most modern missiles Patriot system use have a maximum reach of some 60 kilometer (37 miles). One battery can thus cover a bubble with a 120 kilometer diameter. It may be good for Kiev or Odessa but is nothing that will solve the general military problem Ukraine has.

The Russian forces are superior in technology, personnel and fire power. There is no chance, and never has been, for Ukraine to win that match. No Wunderwaffen, British marines with sea drones or U.S. Patriot systems, will change those basic facts.

US to Deliver Ukraine the Ultimate Patriot System… yawn


I read the news that the United States plans to deliver the Patriot air defense system to its troops in Ukraine in a week.

The emergence of this system will not fundamentally affect the course of hostilities, because it is just a dull analogue of the C300, which has shown itself no longer on the battlefield, but in the catalogs of “super-expensive” weapons for “voluntary-compulsory sponsors of the US military-industrial complex” such as Japan, Canada, Australia, South Korea, the Persian Gulf monarchies and others.

But nevertheless, one conclusion can still be drawn from this news, obviously, the S300 and Buk air defense systems [formerly produced by the Soviet Union] of the NATO troops in Ukraine have already ended, the Russian Aerospace Forces have destroyed almost everything.

There is no alternative for the NATO countries, they have only the Patriot air defense system physically left for serious military operations, there is simply nothing else on the world arms market, with the exception of the Chinese and Iranian analogues of the C300, which are inaccessible to the “evil empire”.

#source

U.S. Interest Expense UP 50% in Two Months

by SRSRocco Report

The U.S. government just released its November Treasury Statement with a shocker that the Debt-Service Interest Expense surged 50% in the first two months. This is a great deal of money when it equals nearly the same value for World Transparent Silver Holdings.

So, how much did the U.S. Interest Expense increase in the first two months of fiscal 2023? Let’s look at the following charts from the November Treasury Statements.

The U.S. government paid a total “Net Interest” Expense of $60 billion for October-November 2021.

Now, look at what was paid for October-November 2023:

The U.S. Treasury forked out an additional $30 billion for a total of $90 billion (just for October & November) to service the U.S. Debt, now at $31.3 trillion. Amazingly, this is a 50% increase year-over-year. Folks, $30 billion is a lot of money and represents nearly the same value as World Transparent Silver Holdings: Read More

America’s Plan in Ukraine and How to Respond

by Sergey Markov, director of the Institute for Political Studies, in Moscow, author of the Markov Logic telegram channel, talks about the American plan for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Now in Ukraine everything is going according to the American plan. This plan involves the creation of a strong anti-Russia out of Ukraine, with the help of which it would be possible to fetter Russia, which then would make it possible to deprive Russia of the status of a great power. Moreover, that would help to make it possible to change the political regime in Russia itself to a pro-American one.
The ideal model that the Americans are striving for, which is being voiced publicly, is the Korean model, that is, the cessation of hostilities. After that, Russia turns into an analogue of North Korea, and Ukraine – into an analogue of South Korea, a prosperous state.
The task is to make relations between Russia and Ukraine exactly the same as between India and Pakistan, that is, these are countries that were part of a single Indian civilization, but then were divided along religious lines and became eternal enemies. Ukraine is separated from Russia now according to some linguistic principles, which are artificially created.
This plan included an intensive manipulation of consciousness in an anti-Russian spirit and the creation of a sufficiently strong Ukrainian army. After that, hostilities in the Donbass were supposed to result in that the main part of Ukraine became total anti-Russian. According to this plan, intense fighting should show that it is bad to be for Russia. This was perfectly demonstrated by the history of Mariupol. And Mariupol is one of the most pro-Russian cities in Ukraine.
The Ukrainian army suffers huge losses while implementing this plan, but these losses were predicted. After all, the more funerals come from the front to Ukrainian families, the more total and endless will be the hatred for Russia. Therefore, when Ukrainian generals holding British or American passports and receiving salaries in dollars and euros give the order to fill Russian positions with the corpses of Ukrainian soldiers, this simultaneously and dramatically increases the effectiveness of military operations, and also has a colossal political effect.
In order to make anti-Russia out of Russian Ukraine, from 2014 until 2022, it took the most brutal dictatorship that was installed by Kiev. After huge losses, attacks on infrastructure facilities, the population itself is already becoming anti-Russian, and no dictatorship is needed here.
Anti-Russia will always fight with Russia, will fight, blowing up the metro in Moscow and St. Petersburg, blowing up planes, it will fight like terrorists fight, regardless of any victims.
Only one thing can break this plan – a military victory for Russia. It must be understood that this is a war of attrition, a long one, and such a war is beneficial to the United States, because Ukraine is only formally opposed to Russia. In reality, Russia is opposed by the huge economies of the United States, the European Union and their highly developed allies. Their combined potential is significantly greater than Russia’s.
The American plan also works great in terms of regime change in Russia. After all, a necessary condition for this is a split in the elites, and such a split already exists. The elites are shocked and frustrated, they have lost their way of life.
But one question arises – why are the Americans doing so well in Ukraine? The main reason why they did not succeed in Iran, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria lies in the fact that there they were opposed by fanatics who were ready to make any sacrifice. In Russia, they are opposed by ultra-pragmatists (Putin people) who only pretend to fight.
This does not mean at all that in order to defeat the Americans in Ukraine, Russia must use nuclear weapons. Russia has such restrictions – for example, not to be the first to use nuclear weapons. But at the same time, fanaticism and the will to win are needed, and not the desire to beg for negotiations.
It is possible to agree with the Americans on only one thing – only on the terms of surrender by Ukraine. From my point of view, Russia will still win. It will win because the majority of the people of the Russian Federation do not want negotiations with the Americans on the terms of Ukraine’s surrender.