Some Things You Should Maybe Know About China

by Larry Romanoff via unz

It seems that whenever the topic of China arises, we are flooded with the most amazing observations, statements, conclusions, almost all of which appear to come from outer space. There surely cannot be another subject on this planet on which so many people are so amazingly misinformed and arrive at the most unrealistic conclusions.

We have a saying that after spending one month in China you could write a book; after a year in China, you could write a chapter; in five years you could write a paragraph, and after five years you could write a note on a postcard – about the food. That saying has become almost an urban legend but it is essentially true. I can still recall the day when, walking down a street in downtown Shanghai after being in the country for about a month, I experienced an illusion of such extreme clarity that I said to myself, “I could write a book on this place”. I cannot explain the mental or sociological processes that combine to cause that initial illusion of understanding and clarity, nor the forces that so effectively and progressively dismantle it to a condition where the more time we spend in China the less we understand it.

And yet, after living in China for nearly 20 years, I find myself constantly challenged and “corrected” by persons who have never been to China, have obviously never read anything useful about the country, and who may not even actually know a single Chinese person. Yet this total lack of knowledge is apparently not a hindrance to the huge amount of philosophical pontificating about “how things really are in China”.

I have often thought that I could stand and speak on China for an hour and that my audience (of Canadians and Americans) would sit with their mouths open and their faces blank for that full hour. They would have nothing to say and no questions to ask, because they would be unable to fathom a set of cultural circumstances where the events I report would be able to exist in their world. The disconnect would be almost total. I recently wrote an article titled “Understanding China” that contains some cultural elements of the above kind.[1]

You might care to read it; it’s brief and interesting.

But for the rest of it, for an ‘understanding’ of China, I would be tempted to say, “don’t bother”. Don’t bother trying to understand China because that understanding is likely beyond your grasp. I am reminded of the Englishman who said that, after 25 years of marriage, he was “only beginning” to understand his French wife. It’s like that. China is a civilisation that is millennia old, with the origins of traditions and thoughts lost in the mists of time. Italy and Greece have a touch of this flavor; the other Western nations not so much, and the US and Canada really have nothing. It isn’t easy to explain, but it’s true nonetheless.

We are heavily penalised by the Western Jewish-owned media in each and every one of its aspects, because the media frame for us a picture of China that is nearly 100% false or at least badly misleading, this done from ideology and their personal agenda. We cannot overcome that without an inordinate amount of time and effort.

I would say that in general there is very little available in the English language on China, on its history or culture, that is accurate or of much use, and the European languages are not much better. There are some exceptions – the writing of Anna Louise Strong[2][3], and tracts by some mostly obscure authors who managed to relay a more or less faithful representation of China in their day.

Keep in mind that the Khazarian Jews were actively involved in the destruction of China (opium, banking theft, political and social destruction, massive wars and the most despicable cultural genocides, among other things) for about 200 years and the Americans weren’t far behind them. Thus, almost anything written by either the Jews or Americans is likely to be rubbish because both were more intent on papering over their sins than in presenting an accurate picture on any topic or aspect of China.

Jewish encyclopedias boast that opium in China was “entirely a Jewish business” and that Sassoon refused to let any non-jews participate. And the Americans, in addition to half a dozen military invasions, had their Treasury Department, their beloved Jewish-owned FED, J. P. Morgan and Citibank[4][5], and many others, all cooperating in looting the carcass while they were busy fostering yet a massive civil war through Zhang Jie Shi (Chiang Kai-Shek to you) and T. V. Soong, busily destroying any remaining semblance of government, economy, and society. Both parties failed because of Mao Tze-Dong and they of course bitterly hate him to this day.

Recent Jewish Expulsions of Note

Everyone knows that the Jews have been expelled from countless countries for at least the past 500 or even 800 years. What most people don’t know is that the process never really stopped. One of Castro’s first acts upon his successful revolution in the early 1950s was to expel all the Jews from Cuba, which is why that poor little country has been subject to barbarous and almost homicidal sanctions for the past nearly 70 years. The city of Nagasaki and the country of Japan likewise expelled all the Jews prior to WWII, which is almost certainly the reason these two were selected by Bernard Baruch (a Jew) as the targets for the atomic bombs (the “Jewish hell-bomb”, in case you don’t know, 99.5% totally-Jewish-developed).[6]

Hitler wanted to expel all the Jews from Germany to Madagascar (his “final solution”), but he failed because the Jews managed to bring the US into the war.

Likewise, Mao’s first act on taking power after winning China’s so-called ‘civil war’ (which was not against other Chinese but against the Jews and Americans) was to expel all the Jews from China, confiscating (as did Castro) all their ill-gotten opium assets that included all of Shanghai and the Mainland branches of the HSBC. Mao actually expelled all foreigners, but the Jews were certainly the target. All Jewish publications I’ve seen, tell us only that the Jews left China “in a hurry” after the war, without specifying exactly the cause of that ‘hurry’. The Jews have hated China ever since, and have been the cause of all the isolation, trade embargoes, non-stop media hate campaign, and much else directed against China since that time.

Shanghai Saved 40,000 Jews from Hitler

Shanghai did no such thing. Populations inside and outside China (but especially inside) are being pumped by the Jews with fictional tales of how the “wonderful warm-hearted Chinese” welcomed all those Jews escaping persecution in Germany. So many tales of fond memories of the Shanghainese loving the Jews. But that isn’t exactly how it was. Shanghai already had a large contingent of wealthy opium Jews and, since the city was entirely under the control of the Japanese Imperial Army at the time, this was where the Japanese sent all the Jews on their expulsion from Japan. Neither Shanghai nor ‘China’ had anything to say about it, and the “wonderful warm-hearted Chinese” didn’t even know what happened. There were a few Jews who may have come overland through Russia and Siberia or by ship, but they were few and their transit passes were for the US, not China. It is worthy of note that the “wonderful warm-hearted Chinese” didn’t do too well under their new Jewish masters. The stories you may have heard about signs in Shanghai reading “No dogs or Chinese allowed”, are true, and those signs were erected by the Jews, not the Japanese.

Mao Tze-Dong: Killing Chinese and Drowning Kittens

It was Jews’ expulsion from China and the resulting bitter hatred of Mao that have led to 70 years of garbled hate-history of China and of Mao in particular. It may surprise some of you to learn that Mao never actually “killed” anybody. All of those stories are Jewish hate literature spawned by their resentment of having to leave China with some flesh still remaining on the bones. This was the cause of China’s great famine around 1960 when the European Jews used the services of the UN to launch a worldwide food embargo on China when that country suffered several years of natural catastrophes and experienced a severe food shortage. Using the Americans as the Banker’s Private Army (and genocidal enforcer), the entire world sat for three years and watched about 20 million Chinese starve to death. Not one country dared to give China any food, nor to sell food to China at any price.[7]

It was the European Khazarian Jews who killed all those millions of Chinese, not Chairman Mao, and they even had the chutzpah to progressively over-estimate their handiwork to as high as 80 million deaths. That is one indication of the savage and inhuman natural proclivities of the European Khazarian Jews – the Rothschilds, Sassoons, Kadoories, Sebag-Montefioris, Lehmans, de’ Medicis, Mendelssohns, Bleichroeders, Warburgs, Lazars, and a hundred other names you have never heard of.

It is the Jews who have created all the tales of China’s famine being due to Mao’s “mismanagement” of food stocks, and tales of how the man killed or executed millions of his own people – for no apparent reason since he was in the process of healing the country and attempting to rebuild it by pulling everyone together. He succeeded. If not for Mao, there would be no China today.

China’s Jewish Communism

Similarly, all of the tales you have heard about China’s Communism, the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution, China’s one-child policy, and so much more, are the result of the Jews attempting to paper over their own final “contributions” to China’s “progress”.

In case you didn’t know, Communism was a 99.985% Jewish enterprise, From Marx and Engels onward. In Russia, the Jews managed to exterminate not only the Russian Royal Family, the Romanovs (Romanoffs) and virtually all of the clergy, but also more than 30% of the total Russian population including the entire middle class and property-owners, to say nothing of looting the entire nation of money, gold, art, icons, Royal Treasure, as they left.

The Khazarian European Jews – the usual list of suspects – were entirely responsible for introducing communism to China. The Jewish Bolsheviks sent an envoy – Grigori Naumovich Voitinsky (real name Zarkhin, a Russian Jew) in the hope of duplicating the destruction of Russia in China. Voitinsky failed in his mission and was expelled, so the Jewish vision of communism never took root in China. The plan for Russia (and all European countries) was to have only a small cadre of Jews controlling the entire nation of peasant-cattle to serve them. This was the picture presented to China, one which was refused.

However, part of the communist philosophy did take hold in China, that of the oppression of the lower classes by the educated and wealthy, and it was this that was almost entirely responsible for the mistakes Mao made. He refused to consider exterminating the upper and middle classes as the Jews recommended and as they had done in Russia, but he did go so far as to try to level the playing field. Thus, doctors were sent to work on farms, and similar, in an attempt to narrow the gaps between the classes. Those attempts failed, and for decades the Jews have pilloried Mao in every way possible without revealing that he was only following their pattern for “nation-building”, but in much gentler fashion. It is the Jews, not the Chinese who should take responsibility for Mao’s social-planning failures.

China’s Jewish One-Child Policy

Similarly, it was another Jew, one of the Malthusian cult whose name escapes me at the moment, who was sent to China with instructions to cull the Chinese population – for the good of all humanity. This effort had rather more success. The man did manage to scare the hell out of the Chinese about the prospects of feeding such an enormous population, and the adoption of the one-child policy was the direct result of this encounter. Naturally, China no sooner adopted the Jews’ recommendation than they used it to pillory China yet one more time as a nation “brutally violating human rights”. Once again, it is the Jews who should take full responsibility for China’s family-planning policies since these were taken entirely on their ‘advice’.

And so on. Think of almost anything bad that you have read about China, or almost anything bad that you ‘know’ about China and, if you scratch the surface, you will find a Jew. I know that doesn’t sound very nice, but it happens to be the truth.

The point of all the above is that nearly everything you know, or think that you know, or that you believe to be true, about China and its history, is wrong. History is written by the victors or, alternatively, by those who control all the media and who own virtually all of the book publishers. And they lie because they are busy covering up their complicity in most of the crimes that have been committed against humanity anywhere, and certainly anything involving China. My comments above haven’t even scratched the surface of the Jews’ crimes in China, much less anywhere else.

Nobody in China has an Imagination

Again, we hear in the Jewish media so much about how “China” and the Chinese have never invented anything, have no imagination, and know only how to copy and steal. But the truth is 180° from this. It is reliably estimated that at least 60% of all the knowledge in the world today originated in China. Yes, that’s really true, and the estimate is not mine. We were all taught in school that the printing press with movable type was invented by Johannes Gutenberg in Germany in around 1550, but China not only invented paper but had printing presses with movable type (on both top and bottom) 600 years before Gutenberg was born. Similarly, every schoolboy knows that the Englishman James Watt invented the steam engine, but China had working steam engines 600 years before James Watt was born. The truth is that Chinese invention has always led the world, with most of these inventions having been copied or stolen by the West and China then just written out of the world’s history by the same people who stole the inventions and who own all the history book publishers. Here is the story of Chinese invention: If you don’t know about this, it’s a real eye-opener.[8]

Also, the Americans and the Jewish US media tried to tarnish China’s high-speed rail system by flooding the presses with untrue accusations of China stealing all the rail IP. I wrote an article on China’s high-speed rail; it’s interesting, and contains no lies:[9]

And here is something else you might really enjoy reading: the story of Nüshu, one of the oldest and most beautiful, and certainly one of the more intriguing languages in the world, the only known example of a full-fledged language created by women and spoken and understood only by women.[10]

It is a part of the UNESCO Heritage.[11]

The Jews of Asia

“The Chinese are not called “the Jews of Asia” without reason.” For your information, the Chinese are not called ‘the Jews of Asia’ with a reason, either. In fact, the Chinese are not called ‘the Jews of Asia’ at all. This originated with an article, later expanded to some 63 pages, written in 1914 by King Vajiravudh of Siam (Thailand), titled: “The Jews of the Orient/Wake Up Siam!”

A reader styling himself “thotmonger” posted a comment on Andrew Anglin’s article on unz.com “I Don’t Know Who’s Great Resetting Who Anymore”, in which he stated: “In it, Vajiravudh makes a very informed and dispassionate cultural and behavior comparison between Jews and ethnic Chinese. It holds up and has been borne out.”[12]

Well, not quite. Researchgate wrote of this paper: “the infamous and highly polemical article penned by King Vajiravudh Rama VI of Siam and first published . . . in 1914 has long been employed as the fundamental evidence of the innate anti-Chinese nature of Siam’s particular brand of royalist nationalism”.[13] In fact, rather than being “very informed and dispassionate”, it was an astonishingly vitriolic piece of venomous trash that has since 1914 been sitting the historical dustbin where it belongs. This is a warning to not believe everything you find on the internet about China, and an even more useful warning to question the motives of those who so highly recommend this brand of rubbish. And please, forget that you ever heard this expression. It’s offensive.

The US Transferred its Manufacturing Base to China; China Stole Our jobs

Well, not exactly. What happened was that the Jewish bankers and industrialists who more or less control the US, forced an agreement with the US government that all profits earned offshore would be tax-free (so long as they remained offshore). So Levi’s, making blue jeans in the US for $20 and selling them for $40, could now go to China and make the jeans for $5 and still sell for $40. As soon as Levi’s did this, the other manufacturers could see their future was in the dustbin because Levi’s could sell blue jeans for much less than the other firms’ cost of production. They had no choice but to follow. So they fired all their employees, closed their factories, and moved to China. When Mattel moved, everyone had to move, this process duplicated throughout the entire manufacturing sector. Many didn’t even have to build their own factories; they could find a Chinese factory to make their products OEM, and just collect the money. That is why Apple has something like $300 billion sitting offshore. Now, all those same firms are pressing the US government to repatriate those profits tax-free on the grounds they will use the money to “create jobs”.

We read so many different stories on this topic, assessing the blame on America’s misguided industrial policies, or how the Jews are transferring the West’s riches to China, or how the Chinese are somehow in cahoots with someone in the planned destruction of America. But this is unrelated to industrial policy; it was simply due to the Jews’ greed and their contempt of America, their willingness to bleed the nation dry so long as they profit from it. “Once we have squeezed everything we want from the US, it can dry up and blow away.”

China Stole all our IP

Yeah, sure. Send me the list. For those of you who don’t know, the US and the Khazarian Jews are the greatest thieves of IP in history. You might care to read about Operation Paperclip[14] and the US’ vast IP theft network[15], and some of the truth about ‘How the US Became Rich’:[16][17]

IP theft and Technology Transfer

Despite US accusations of China copying foreign technology, China’s high-technology achievements were entirely home-grown because the US has been so determined to hinder China’s rise that by 1950 it engineered an international embargo on all scientific knowledge and on almost all useful products and processes to China, including legislation that Chinese scientists cannot be invited to, or participate in, American scientific forums, while bullying other Western nations into doing the same. In October of 2019, all Chinese scientists and space technology companies were denied visas to attend the weeklong International Astronautical Congress in Washington, far from the first time such has occurred.

We hear much in the Western media about China demanding technology transfers as a condition of corporate residence in China, but this is mostly propaganda. No doubt expectations for technology and knowhow transfer do occur, since China doesn’t want to spend the rest of its life making toasters and running shoes but, since entry to the Chinese market is a gift of billions in profits, it is perfectly sensible to attach a price to it. However, one must keep in mind that no foreign company is conducting cutting-edge commercial or sensitive military research, or manufacturing quantum computers and hypersonic missiles in China. Any technology actually available for transfer would be almost entirely in consumer goods, and hardly constitute great value or threats to US ‘national security’. And, in virtually all of the cutting-edge fields and industries such as quantum computing, 5-G telecom or solar energy, China has already surpassed the US.[18]

If it Weren’t for us . . .

This has been floating around for years, the claim however it’s made, that the US deserves all the credit for China’s resurgence. AmCham (the American Chamber of Commerce) in China even made the flat claim that it – AmCham – was directly responsible for the lifting of 600 million people out of poverty. “We gave you the technology, we got you into the WTO, we did it all for you.” James Fallows in China Airborne even claimed the Chinese were dimly aware their airplanes were crashing but had no idea what to do about it, so the Americans came and taught the magic word of ‘maintenance’, thus rescuing Chinese aviation. Of all the sick jokes, that one is probably the sickest.

After doing everything possible for 70 years to bankrupt and partition China, to derail, to isolate, to rob, to starve to death, to collapse the government, to cause revolutions in, and having failed to prevent China’s rise, now the Americans and their Jewish masters are taking credit for it. The specific claims are so ridiculous I won’t bother listing and refuting them.

The South China Sea Islands

China discovered and claimed all these islands many many hundreds of years ago, long before the Vietnamese and Philipinos even learned to swim. If the US can claim Hawaii, Puerto Rico, the Bahamas and the Virgin Islands and the UK can claim the Falklands which are only about 50,000 miles from their shores, why can’t China have a few islands that are near home? They did have, until a few years ago when the Americans and their masters, always looking for a chance to create instability and launch another war, began prodding Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand, to “occupy” those islands. “After all, they are also near your shores, so why should you let the Chinese have them? And don’t worry; we have military bases here in your country. The Chinese won’t dare do anything.”

So three countries stupidly did just that; they ‘occupied’ (and militarised) the three best, largest, and most strategic of these islands. China wasn’t about to start a war with its neighbors over this, but the government wasn’t blind to what was happening, either, so the Chinese military grabbed the three next most useful islands and did indeed fortify them with military installations. This was done in self-defense since China doesn’t need US nuclear warheads a few hundred miles from its shores, without having some kind of early-warning defense. But the only noise you hear in the Jewish media and from the White House is about “China’s militarisation of the South China Seas”.

The Diaoyu Islands

One commenter here wrote, “A decade ago, China started “an aggressive military challenge” to Japan concerning some islands. China “did not have a legal leg to stand on” but it led to “State-induced mob attacks” on Japanese businesses in China.”

“Rubbish” is much too kind a word to waste on bullshit like this. The Diaoyu Islands have belonged to China since before there was a China. Japan occupied them. The US conquered Japan in WWII and the UN left it to the US military to put things back as they were in the Pacific, in this case to return the Diaoyu Islands to China. But the Americans, taking counsel one more time from their Jewish masters who always seem to know how to set the stage for future wars, ignored the UN mandate and instead turned the islands over to Japan for “administration purposes”. And of course, the Americans and Jews (you may not know this, but Japan is a Jewish-American colony with no will or foreign policy of its own) push the Japanese to either populate these little islands or do something equally provocative to see if they can start another war between China and Japan. And, for the record, the Chinese government strongly discouraged the attacks on Japanese businesses in China, but resentment toward Japan does run deep in China, and for very good reason.

The Trouble With Taiwan

If you want to start a war with China, this is the place to do it. The Americans know it, their Jewish masters know it, and both are doing their best to make it happen. All we hear in the Western media is that China, for no good reason, considers Taiwan “a renegade province” which it resolves to bring home again one day – by force, if necessary. But this is bad because, as the BBC solemnly tells us, Taiwan is “. . . a sovereign state. It has its own constitution, democratically-corrupt leaders (although not quite as democratically-corrupt as in the US), a standing military”, to say nothing of billions of dollars of US arms and missiles, and military provocations by the score.

But how did Taiwan become a ‘renegade’ province? Simple. China underwent a civil war, with Mao on one side and the Jews and Americans on the other side, protecting their puppet Zhang Jie Shi. Mao won. Zhang’s last act, under American military support, was to totally loot China’s central bank and all other banks within reach, and flee to Taiwan. That wouldn’t have helped him much, but the US filled the Taiwan Strait with all the naval military muscle it could gather, to prevent Mao from tidying up this loose end. China didn’t have the naval power to Challenge the US fleet, and could do no more than fire occasional artillery shells at Taipei. Once again, the Jews and the Americans were setting up a lovely future war.

The Jewish media tell us that Taiwan “has never even been under the control of China’s Communist Party”, a statement that is factually true but irrelevant. Taiwan had always been part of China until the Japanese occupied it and then the Americans took it over and prevented its unification with the Mainland. China’s Communist Party is a relative newcomer to government, and it was only because of the formation of that government that the reunification was prevented. Lies and more lies.

The Trouble With Tibet

Tibet was a part of China long before George Washington cut down his fictious cherry tree, long before Benjamin Franklin conducted his fictitious Kite Experiment, and even long before Christopher Columbus opened his first aboriginal brothel in the New World.[19]

The Western media have imposed on our imaginations an image of a fabled theocracy where a reincarnated god rules over a peaceful people spinning prayer wheels in a pastoral idyll. The West’s fascination with Tibet has turned it into a mythic place upon which we project our dreams and our own spiritual fantasies. The result is what I call the Shangri-La syndrome[20], millions of Westerners choosing to believe in an attractive but wholly mythological, romantic fantasy which has never existed.

Tibet was generally self-managed, though experiencing much British and American interference and slaughter until the middle of the last century. The Western press refer euphemistically to Tibet’s pre-1950 social structure as a benign ‘feudal system’, but it was no such thing. When Mao went in to clean it up, Tibet was a slave colony. Virtually all the people were literally owned by the Dalai and other lamas, the people forbidden to own land, and worked their entire lives without pay. The highest monks each owned 35,000 to 40,000 slaves.

The level of poverty in Tibet (outside the monasteries) until the 1950s could not be imagined by Westerners; it would have to be seen to be believed. Tibetans couldn’t afford fabric clothing, still wearing sheepskins as they did centuries earlier. Life was brutal, harsh, and corrupt. Life expectancy was barely 30. The prettiest girls and boys were confiscated to the monasteries for sex. Education was forbidden to all but the monks because education was expensive and educated peasants were considered dangerous to the system. The Dalai Lama prohibited any development of industry because wealth of the population brought independence from the religion. The Lamas, however, sent their children to British schools in India, and freely transferred the Province’s financial assets to British banks.[21][22] After Mao decided that enough was enough, the situation in Tibet has soared in every way imaginable.

In China, 99.9% of Those Charged With a Crime, are Convicted

We are today treated by the Western media to ‘the fact’ of the Chinese justice system having a conviction rate of “at least 99.9%”, if not higher, accompanied by harrowing tales of criminals confessing under duress – surely the reason for the apparently high conviction rate.

First, the percentage above is a foolish and exaggerated guess, one more way to smear China. There is no agency in China that collects and collates such statistics from all levels of the courts and from all cities, towns, provinces, counties. Thus, even the legal authorities couldn’t tell you the average conviction rates. It might be possible for a particular level of court in a single city or town, but not nationwide.

Nevertheless, for comparison, the equivalent number for conviction rates in the West (at least the US and Canada) is about 60%, the number presented as an indication of ‘fairness’ or ‘justice’ in the Western system, but what does that 60% Western conviction rate mean? It means that nearly half of all people in the West who are charged with a crime, were in fact innocent, but needed the expense and trauma of a criminal trial to prove their innocence. Or, if you want to be stubborn, we can argue the other side – that 100% of those charged with a crime were in fact guilty, but that a clever and expensive lawyer let them walk free. Is that better? If you want to know the truth about China’s system, you can read this:[23]

Why do Criminals in China Confess to Their Crimes?

According to millennia of culture and tradition, if you are caught in a crime, you take it like a man; you confess, you express your regret, and you throw yourself on the mercy of the court. It helps immensely if your expression of regret is sincere. But if you try to lie your way out of it, if you refuse to admit to your crime and obstruct the investigation, the police will hold you until they eventually acquire the proof they need, after which the courts will show you no mercy.

This is the Chinese system, just as it is at home with our children, where confessing is the only smart move and trying to lie your way out is cowardly and despicable. Westerners cannot understand this, the media repeatedly referring to a “purported confession” or a “possibly coerced confession”, unable to fathom a culture where people traditionally confess to crimes when they are caught. Thus, the conclusion that any confession in China must have been forced or obtained by torture. In the West, with the legal system as created, confessing to a crime is probably stupid; in China, refusing to confess to a crime certainly is stupid.[24]

China’s “50-cent Army”

All of you must know of this, a story fabricated by David Bandurski, another Jew, this one at Hong Kong University’s ‘China Media Project’ financed by George Soros. The tale weaved by Bandurski was that the Chinese government had 288,000 people engaged full-time looking for opportunities to make posts anywhere on the internet favorable to China, with a reward of US$0.50 for each and every such post. These claims were seen by the hundreds all over the internet, on any platform permitting comments, with any comment favorable to China accused of being part of China’s 50-cent army. But then suddenly – on one day – this died, because on that day someone posted on Facebook a screenshot of a long-existing program where the government of Israel had been (and still was) offering to all Jewish university students in America, a payment of US$0.50 for every post favorable to Israel or the Jews. Bandurski went silent and we can hope he remains in that condition. There never actually was a Chinese 50-cent army but there was indeed a Jewish 50-cent army, which still exists today and which we can see on unz.com and many other places.

China’s Fall

“For me, the surprise is how China managed to fall so badly 200 years ago. Studying that would bring the biggest lessons we can all learn.” It was the Jews who destroyed China, as they are destroying the US and Europe today. China succeeded by expelling all the Jews and ensuring that any who ever returned would have no access to the makers of public policy. That is the biggest lesson you can learn, but no Western country today has the independence for such expulsions. The only result of such an attempt to reclaim control of the throne would be hundreds of mortally-disgraced politicians, and many dead ones.

Mr. Romanoff’s writing has been translated into 32 languages and his articles posted on more than 150 foreign-language news and politics websites in more than 30 countries, as well as more than 100 English language platforms. Larry Romanoff is a retired management consultant and businessman. He has held senior executive positions in international consulting firms, and owned an international import-export business. He has been a visiting professor at Shanghai’s Fudan University, presenting case studies in international affairs to senior EMBA classes. Mr. Romanoff lives in Shanghai and is currently writing a series of ten books generally related to China and the West. He is one of the contributing authors to Cynthia McKinney’s new anthology ‘When China Sneezes’. (Chapt. 2 — Dealing with Demons). http://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/2187/

His full archive can be seen at https://www.moonofshanghai.com/ and http://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/

He can be contacted at: 2186604556@qq.com

Notes

[1] https://www.moonofshanghai.com/2021/07/en-larry-romanoff-understanding-china.html

Understanding China

[2] https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/strong-anna-louise/1963/letters_china/forward.htm

How “Letter from China” Grew

[3] https://www.encyclopedia.com/arts/news-wires-white-papers-and-books/strong-anna-louise

Anna Louise Strong

[4] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/en-larry-romanoff-citibank-the-great-gold-robbery-july-07-2021/

Citibank- The Great Gold Robbery

[5] https://www.unz.com/lromanoff/us-silver-purchase-act-of-1934/

US Silver Purchase Act of 1934

[6] https://www.unz.com/lromanoff/a-few-historical-frauds/

A few Historical Frauds, by Larry Romanoff – The Unz Review

[7] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/3234/

China’s 1959 Famine

[8] https://www.unz.com/lromanoff/history-of-chinese-inventions-the-present-and-the-future-recent-chinese-state-of-the-art-innovations/

History of Chinese Inventions. The Present and the Future

[9] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/3442/

China’s High-Speed Trains

[10] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/2143/

Nüshu (女书) – The Language of Women

[11] https://en.unesco.org/courier/2018-1/nushu-tears-sunshine

Nüshu: from tears to sunshine

[12] https://www.unz.com/aanglin/i-dont-know-whos-great-resetting-who-anymore/

I Don’t Know Who’s Great Resetting Who Anymore; See comment #159

[13]https://www.researchgate.net/publication/301666099_Beyond_Jews_of_the_Orient_A_New_Interpretation_of_the_Problematic_Relationship_between_the_Thai_State_and_Its_Ethnic_Chinese_Community

[14] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/the-greatest-intellectual-property-theft-in-history-operation-paperclip-november-16-2019/

The Greatest Intellectual Property Theft in History: Operation Paperclip

[15] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/3761/

Patents, Theft of Intellectual Property (IP), Product Piracy and US-China Relations

[16] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/4646/

Nations Built on Lies; Volume 1 – How the US Became Rich

[17] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/4950/

Nations Built on Lies; Volume 1 – How the US Became Rich; Part 4 IP theft and copying

[18] https://www.unz.com/lromanoff/history-of-chinese-inventions-the-present-and-the-future-recent-chinese-state-of-the-art-innovations/

History of Chinese Inventions. The Present and the Future

[19] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/3781/

A Brief Introduction to Tibet

[20] Shangri-la was originally thrust upon the world in the 1933 novel ‘Lost Horizon’ by British author James Hilton https://www.amazon.com/Lost-Horizon-Novel-James-Hilton/dp/0062113720 who described it as a mystical, harmonious valley, gently guided by devoted lamas, the name since becoming synonymous with a mythical earthly but isolated paradise whose inhabitants are virtually immortal. However, Shangri-la really does exist, a charming town in the remote NorthWest of China’s Yunnan Province.

[21] Anna Louise Strong; Tibetan Interviews, 1959; https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/strong-anna-louise/1959/tibet/index.htm

[22] T. D. Allman; A Myth Foisted on the Western World, The Nation Magazine; https://shugdensociety.wordpress.com/2010/07/03/a-myth-foisted-on-the-western-world/

[23] https://www.bluemoonofshanghai.com/politics/2847/

Chinese Criminal Confessions

[24] ibid

If The Pentagon Can Not Confirm The Bucha Tales, Who Can?

via Moon of Alabama

This was the most important one of yesterday’s news items.

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Pentagon can’t independently confirm atrocities in Ukraine’s Bucha, official says

WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) – The U.S. military is not in a position to independently confirm Ukrainian accounts of atrocities by Russian forces against civilians in the town of Bucha, …

“The Pentagon can’t independently and single handedly confirm that, but we’re also not in any position to refute those claims.”

If the Pentagon, which includes the Defense Intelligence Agency and the National Security Agency, could not confirm what the government in Kiev claimed, who else could?

Certainly not the European minions who reacted to those dubious claims by removing more Russian embassy personal from their countries.

The U.S. is again pushing the Europeans into suiciding their economies. The U.S. would of course be the only country that would gain from that.

Its over. The Ukraine has lost the war. Its navy, air force and defense industry no longer exist. The Russia air force is doing hundreds of bombing runs per night eliminating any fuel and ammunition depot that is left in Ukraine.

Without fuel tanks and trucks are immobilized. Without ammunition artillery falls silent. The heavy Ukrainian units along Donbas are now unable to do maneuver warfare. They can not even flee. Replenishment and reserves are unable to reach them. They have the choice of giving up or getting destroyed in place.

Anyone who is still pushing more weapons into Ukraine or tells Kiev to prolong the war is putting more Ukrainian lives at risk for zero potential gain.

That’s criminal.

War in Ukraine is About the Dollar

by Algora

All the major events in the last 20 years revolve around the Dollar. As long as the US can use its own domestic currency as the currency of the world, it practically never can go bankrupt. It can print more and more dollars, just simple paper, and continue to pay anything in the world with toilet paper.

Do they want to pay for the jihadists in Iraq, or Syria, etc. they go to the printing press. Do they want to buy a company in France, or Germany they print more dollars, etc.

That makes it very unpleasant for the US if someone declares that they will not accept dollars. Furthermore, using their gunboat diplomacy, they forced all countries of the would to trade among themselves only using dollars. If India wants to buy shoes from Brazil, they are forced to pay in US dollars for the shoes. They were/are not allowed to use Indian rupees, but American dollars. Otherwise: sanctions!!! – Same about the petrodollars. All the oil in the world can only be paid for in dollars!

So, when Saddam Hussein dared to defy the US and declared that Iraq would sell its oil for Euros or gold — we know what happened. When Libya’s Gaddafi said the same, to the shock of everyone, he was blown to pieces. These were lessons for the little guys. Kill a chicken to scare a monkey.

Now, the Russians were concerned for a long time that in this environment they cannot compete with an endless source of military financing by the U.S. They concluded that, in order to level the playing field, they need to dethrone the mighty dollar. They were working with the Chinese for the last 4-5 years on how to move their trade outside of the dollar. And that’s when the trouble started.

Smelling the consequences, the US moved to preempt that from becoming real. They moved against China, then Russia, then China, back and forth to intimidate one or the other. But no success.

Then, in utter despair, they (mis)calculated that they could trap Russia in an un-winnable quagmire in Ukraine. But their old tricks are not working.

So, when the US, in an unprecedented act of international piracy, seized Russia’s central bank accounts and Russian citizens’ private property in the West, that illegal act alone, finally, gave Russia the pretext to nullify all the financial obligations to the West and bring their own big gunboat diplomacy to the dispute. You want our oil? Pay in Rubles! You want our grain? Pay in Rubles!

Now, the Americans are dead in the water.

At this point the best outcome for the US would be a military takeover.

Ukraine Front, April 3, 2022

Here is what the map of the area of operations looks like today:

  • The yellow circle is roughly the area where the outcome of this battle will be decided.
  • The small black arrow represents the likely Ukrainian effort to send in reinforcements
  • The big black arrow represents the move away from Kiev and towards the Donbass by Russian forces

About the Sale of Russian Gas for Rubles

You have to pay to Russian banks now!

The Presidential Decree published today explaining exactly how to sell and pay for Russian gas was predictably misinterpreted.

The task, first of all, was to transfer all mutual settlements from the American and European control zones to the Russian zone. There is a need to transfer financial transactions to Russian jurisdiction in order to eliminate the risks of payment disruptions and blocking of Russian accounts.

That’s exactly what was done.

For Europeans, of course, it is technically incomprehensible, difficult and undesirable to exchange euros for rubles. Therefore, they were offered an option: they open an account with the Russian Gazprombank, payments will be received in foreign currency, converted at the exchange rate of the Moscow Exchange and transferred to the accounts of counterparties in the same Gazprombank, and from there they will be received as payment.

That is, the Russian side thus guarantees that Gazprom will receive the money. And this is a fundamental point.

The scheme, to which the same Americans pushed the Europeans, was as follows: the money goes to Gazprom’s accounts in Europe and, accordingly, is blocked there. And this is repeated endlessly until the special military operation stops. An uncomplicated financial trap.

For the Russian side, making settlements in the area of domestic jurisdiction is also a profitable step. This may not be the most thorough, but it is still a brick in building a parallel financial system, which has been talked about so much lately.

An alternative payment system is being formed now. This is not a violation of existing contracts in any way. This is a way of adapting to the unprecedented pressure that the Russian side is facing.

Moreover, tying the price of gold from below to equivalent of 75 rubles per dollar (roughly equivalent to the exchange rate pre-invasion) guarantees some immutability of the exchange rate of the euro vs. the ruble. This will need further adjustments if the ruble becomes more desirable.

I’ve Never Heard So Many Lies

Authored by James Rickards via DailyReckoning.com,

All wars are full of lies.

Winston Churchill famously said, “In wartime, truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies.”

We accept that idea broadly. Secret invasion plans should be closely held. The identities of spies must be kept under wraps. New weapons and defensive tools should not be revealed because enemies will be alerted to their potential and begin offensive workarounds.

Still, just because the government has legitimate reasons to deceive the public in wartime does not mean that citizens don’t have a duty to find the truth to the extent they can.

The Russian-Ukraine kinetic war and the broader U.S.-Russian economic war are full of more lies than any public events I’ve seen in my lifetime including Vietnam, Watergate and the Iraq War.

That’s how big the lies are.

The Bodyguard of Lies

Here’s the official U.S. narrative as echoed by the mainstream media: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was unprovoked, Putin’s three-day blitzkrieg of Kyiv has failed, Russian forces are bogged down and valiant Ukrainian troops are putting up a powerful defense and regaining lost ground with the help of weapons from NATO.

In this version, President Zelenskyy is the new Churchill rallying patriots against an evil dictator. All of that is either entirely or mostly false.

Here’s the real story: Russia’s invasion is the end result of 14 years of provocation by the West, including repeated declarations that Ukraine will join NATO and a U.S.-backed coup d’état in 2014 that displaced a pro-Russian president.

Russia never planned a blitzkrieg on Kyiv. That’s a Western invention intended to make Putin look like a failure. In fact, Russia is slowly and methodically taking territory in the south and east of Ukraine in order to control the seacoasts, eliminate pro-fascist elements in Mariupol and establish pro-Russian autonomous zones in Donbas.

Churchill? Really?

A full assault on Kyiv, if it ever comes, is last on the list. Ukraine may reoccupy a village here and there, but they’re losing ground in Kherson, Mykolaiv, Melitopol, Mariupol, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Donetsk and surrounding areas.

Moreover, Zelenskyy is no Churchill.

He’s succeeded in presenting himself as a strong wartime leader, standing up to the big, bad Putin. But in reality, he’s a corrupt oligarch with millions of dollars hidden offshore. His acting skills have enhanced his propaganda efforts, but it doesn’t take much training to see how phony he is.

Innocent civilians, including women and children, are dying under his failed leadership and inability to come to terms with Putin before the invasion began. In a nutshell, Zelenskyy bet on support from Biden and the West and lost.

There is ample evidence from numerous sources to support this analysis. Some of the best sources come from Switzerland, where military experts are infuriated that traditional Swiss neutrality has been cast aside.

Most tellingly, Pentagon leaks say the same thing. The story from inside the Pentagon is that Putin is not acting recklessly but is being patient and methodical. It also says that, despite some civilian casualties, Putin is actually using a restrained approach. Furthermore, there are no signs he is preparing for the use of chemical or biological weapons.

So what about the economic sanctions? Are they working?

The Most Severe Sanctions in History

Payments in and out of Russia have been blocked. The Central Bank of Russia has been banned from the global dollar payments systems. The same is true for the 10 largest Russian banks and a long list of oligarchs and Russian government officials.

Accounts of Russian targets in Western banks have been frozen. Exports of critical technology and high-tech equipment to Russia have been banned. U.S. and European airspace has been closed to Russian airlines.

Secondary sanctions have been imposed so that if another nation like China sells goods to Russia made with U.S. technology or machines, that nation will be punished also. The list goes on.

Economic sanctions of these kinds sound powerful when they’re announced and do have some impact. But in the long run they never work. In the end, the costs are real but the effects of the sanctions are nil. It’s a lose-lose proposition.

Sanctions Against Oligarchs Are Doing Putin a Favor

Some losses are incurred by those whose accounts are frozen or whose businesses are handicapped. A few Russian oligarchs may lose their yachts, but guess what? Putin doesn’t like the oligarchs anyway.

We’re actually doing Putin a favor by clipping the oligarchs’ wings. Putin’s power comes from the military and security services, not the oligarchs.

Tellingly, the strategic goals that justified the sanctions are never achieved. At most, they are slowed down temporarily. It’s just a matter of time before the affected parties devise workarounds to the sanctions.

The bottom line is Russia has not stood still. Russian exports of critical strategic metals such as nickel, titanium, palladium and aluminum have been cut off. Russian (and Ukrainian) wheat and other grains have also been cut off.

This will result in starvation in certain parts of the world and massive food price inflation everywhere. Given the extent of these sanctions and the retaliation, the damage to world trade, supply chains and even the availability of goods will be massive.

But what about the strategic aims of the sanctions?

Sanctions Won’t Stop the Ukrainian War

Here, the sanctions are a complete failure. They have had zero impact on Russian advances on the battlefield and Russian goals in Ukraine. In fact, Putin has proved to be a master chess player as he runs rings around the sanctions.

When the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russian banks, the value of the ruble collapsed. Still, oil and natural gas exports from Russia were allowed because Europe is dependent on them and the world is facing an energy shortage independent of the war in Ukraine.

Oil and natural gas are paid for in dollars. In a masterpiece of judo, Putin is now demanding that Russian oil and natural gas bought by states imposing sanctions be paid for in rubles. This mystified many. If Russia needs dollars (they do), why be paid in rubles?

The answer is that the only way for Europe to get rubles quickly is to buy them from the Central Bank of Russia using dollars. Under Putin’s plan, Russia still gets the dollars, still sells oil and natural gas but he has the added benefit of making rubles stronger because Europe has to buy them to pay for the energy exports.

Cutting off Russian exports of oil and natural gas is pointless because Russia will just sell the same energy to China and India. But the price will go up. It’s a world market, after all.

Putin’s Many Moves Ahead of Biden

This is how judo works. You use your enemy’s power against him by avoiding the main attack and turning the tables. Putin’s a judo expert in real life and he just demonstrated that he can practice it in economic warfare. The West will now be engaged in propping up the ruble after they did so much to destroy it.

Putin thinks many moves ahead on the chessboard while Biden is playing pin the tail on the donkey, blindfolded.

Sanctions ultimately harm everyday citizens and consumers most. Inflation is surging in Russia and the United States because of the sanctions. But the pain on the American people has only begun. It’s about to get much worse.

U.S. consumers and investors will suffer as prices soar, growth lags and stocks collapse.

This is all unpleasant news for Western warmongers. But it’s critical for investors to know what’s actually going on so they don’t lose money in the chaos to come.

The best information is that the war in Ukraine will last longer than most expect, will produce supply chain disruptions and will amplify the inflation that’s already present.

In the end, Putin will prevail in Ukraine, while the Ukrainian people and Western consumers will pay the heaviest price.

How Mariupol Will Become a Key Hub of Eurasia Integration

by Pepe Escobar via unz

Mariupol, the strategic Sea of Azov port, remains in the eye of the storm in Ukraine.

The NATO narrative is that Azovstal – one of Europe’s biggest iron and steel works – was nearly destroyed by the Russian Army and its allied Donetsk forces who “lay siege” to Mariupol.

The true story is that the neo-Nazi Azov battalion took scores of Mariupol civilians as human shields since the start of the Russian military operation in Ukraine, and retreated to Azovstal as a last stand. After an ultimatum delivered last week, they are now being completely exterminated by the Russian and Donetsk forces and Chechen Spetsnaz.

Azovstal, part of the Metinvest group controlled by Ukraine’s wealthiest oligarch, Rinat Akhmetov, is indeed one of the biggest metallurgic plants in Europe, self-described as a “high-performance integrated metallurgical enterprise that produces coke and sinter, steel as well as high-quality rolled products, bars and shapes.”

Amidst a flurry of testimonials detailing the horrors inflicted by the Azov neo-Nazis on Mariupol’s civilian population, a way more auspicious, invisible story bodes well for the immediate future.

Russia is the world’s fifth largest steel producer, apart from holding huge iron and coal deposits. Mariupol – a steel Mecca – used to source coal from Donbass, but under de facto neo-Nazi rule since the 2014 Maidan events, was turned into an importer. Iron, for instance, started to be supplied from Krivbas in Ukraine, over 200 kilometers away.

After Donetsk solidifies itself as an independent republic or, via referendum, chooses to become part of the Russian Federation, this situation is bound to change.

Azovstal is invested in a broad product line of very useful stuff: structural steel, rail for railroads, hardened steel for chains, mining equipment, rolled steel used in factory apparatus, trucks and railroad cars. Parts of the factory complex are quite modern while some, decades old, are badly in need of upgrading, which Russian industry can certainly provide.

Strategically, this is a huge complex, right at the Sea of Azov – which is now, for all practical purposes, incorporated into the Donetsk People’s Republic, and close to the Black Sea. That implies a short trip to the Eastern Mediterranean, including many potential customers in West Asia. And crossing Suez and reaching the Indian Ocean, customers all across South and Southeast Asia.

So the Donetsk People’s Republic, possibly part of the future Novorossiya, and even part of Russia, will be in control of a lot of steel-making capacity for southern Europe, West Asia and beyond.

One of the inevitable consequences is that it will be able to supply a real freight railroad construction boom in Russia, China and the Central Asian ‘stans.’ Railroad construction happens to be the privileged connectivity mode for Beijing’s ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). And, crucially, of the increasingly turbo-charged International North South Transportation Corridor (INSTC).

So, mid-term, Mariupol should expect to become one of the key hubs of a boom in north-south routes – INSTC across Russia and linking with the ‘stans’ – as well as major BRI upgrades east-west as well as sub-BRI corridors.

Interlocked Eurasia

The INSTC’s main players are Russia, Iran and India – which are now, post-NATO sanctions, in advanced interconnection mode, complete with devising mechanisms to bypass the US dollar in their trade. Azerbaijan is another important INSTC player, yet more volatile because it privileges Turkey’s connectivity designs in the Caucasus.

The INSTC network will be progressively interconnecting also with Pakistan – and that means the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a key BRI hub, which is slowly but surely expanding to Afghanistan. Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s impromptu visit to Kabul late last week was to advance the incorporation of Afghanistan to the New Silk Roads.

All that is happening as Moscow – extremely close to New Delhi – is simultaneously expanding trade relations with Islamabad. All three, crucially, are Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) members.

So the grand North-South design spells out fluent connectivity from the Russian mainland to the Caucasus (Azerbaijan), to West Asia (Iran) all the way to South Asia (India and Pakistan). None of these key players have demonized or sanctioned Russia despite ongoing US pressures to do so.

Strategically, that represents the Russian multipolar concept of Greater Eurasian Partnership in action in terms of trade and connectivity – in parallel and complementary with BRI because India, eager to install a rupee-ruble mechanism to buy energy, in this case is an absolutely crucial Russia partner, matching China’s reported $400 billion strategic deal with Iran. In practice, the Greater Eurasia Partnership will facilitate smoother connectivity between Russia, Iran, Pakistan and India.

The NATO universe, meanwhile, is congenitally incapable of even recognizing the complexity of the alignment, not to mention analyze its implications. What we have is the interlocking of BRI, INTSC and the Greater Eurasia Partnership on the ground – all notions that are regarded as anathema in the Washington Beltway.

All that of course is being designed amidst a game-changing geoeconomic moment, as Russia, starting this Thursday, will only accept payment for its gas in rubles from “unfriendly” nations.

Parallel to the Greater Eurasia Partnership, BRI, since it was launched in 2013, is also progressively weaving a complex, integrated Eurasian network of partnerships – financial/economic, connectivity, physical infrastructure building, economic/trade corridors. BRI’s role as a co-shaper of institutions of global governance, including normative foundations, has also been crucial, much to the despair of the NATO alliance.

Time to de-westernize

Yet only now the Global South, especially, will start to observe the full spectrum of the China-Russia play across the Eurasian sphere. Moscow and Beijing are deeply involved in a joint drive to de-westernize globalist governance, if not shatter it altogether.

Russia from now on will be even more meticulous in its institution-building, coalescing the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU), the SCO and the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) – a Eurasian military alliance of select post-Soviet states – in a geopolitical context of irreversible institutional and normative divide between Russia and the West.

At the same time, the Greater Eurasia Partnership will be solidifying Russia as the ultimate Eurasian bridge, creating a common space across Eurasia which could even ignore vassalized Europe.

Meanwhile in real life, BRI, as much as the INSTC, will be increasingly plugged into the Black Sea (hello, Mariupol). And BRI itself may be even prone to re-evaluation in its emphasis of linking western China to western Europe’s shrinking industrial base.

There will be no point in privileging the northern BRI corridors – China-Mongolia-Russia via the Trans-Siberian, and the Eurasian land bridge via Kazakhstan – when you have Europe descending into medieval dementia.

BRI’s renewed focus will be on gaining access to irreplaceable commodities – and that means Russia – as well as securing essential supplies for Chinese production. Commodity-rich nations such as Kazakhstan, and many players in Africa, shall become the top future markets for China.

In a pre-Covid loop across Central Asia, one constantly heard that China builds plants and high-speed railways while Europe at best writes white papers. It can always get worse. The EU as occupied American territory is now descending, fast, from center of global power to the status of inconsequential peripheral player, a mere “struggling market in the far periphery” of China’s “community of shared destiny.”

Psaki Reminds Reporters That Biden Doesn’t Speak For The President Of The United States

via BabylonBee

article-10816-1.jpgSHARE

WASHINGTON, D.C.—In a tense press conference Monday, Press Secretary Jen Psaki faced pointed questions about several Biden misstatements that led to chaos during his trip overseas. Psaki quickly reassured the gathered press that Biden doesn’t speak for the President of the United States.

“The President has clearly said, and we agree, that Joe Biden does not speak for this administration,” said Psaki to the confused reporters. “Nothing said by Biden should be misconstrued to reflect the official foreign policy of the President. This administration has been clear from the beginning, that we have always been clear about what we have been clear about, clearly.”

“But Jen!” said a feisty Peter Doocy, “Don’t you think these inconsistent statements could cause World War III and unleash CRT on our kids all at once? Why did Biden have to walk back his statements?”

“We would like to walk back the statement that we have ever walked back any statements,” said a frustrated Psaki. “But if you find any statements that we have walked back let me know and we’ll circle back later to walk back our walk-back.”

Sources say Biden is now in his basement on tranquilizers until the administration can clarify what statements need to be walked back.

Note: There might be traces of humor.

Hybrid Warfare and Gaseous Absurdity

The RF has demanded payment in roubles. The response of the EU states is to refuse this demand. The RF has indicated it will terminate the supply of LNG for non-payment. The EU suggests it will seek substitute LNG supply. The EU position represents an absurdist element of Hybrid Warfare. This post sets out some of the issues.

According to the IEA the EU consumed 155 billion cubic metres of LNG in 2021. Of this supply 45% was obtained from Russia ( https://www.iea.org/news/how-europe-can-cut-natural-gas-imports-from-russia-significantly-within-a-year ).

The RF 2021 EU import share was 69.75 billion cubic metres per year or 5.8 billion cubic metres LNG per month. If the EU seeks to substitute for RF LNG this is the approximate monthly quantity required.

The largest LNG tankers are the QMAX class. These can transport 266,000 cubic metres of LNG ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q-Max ).

A simple calculation shows the monthly transport of 5.8 billion cubic metres of LNG by vessels with a capacity of 266,000 cubic metres of LNG requires a total of 21,852 shipments per month or approximately 705 shipments per day.

This volume of shipping will saturate the existing EU LNG offloading ports. These ports are already dedicated to handling other LNG imports. The time to unload an LNG cargo is approximately one day. This implies the need to construct 705 new LNG offloading ports because immediately following the day 1 arrival of 705 vessels there will be the Day 2 arrival of another 705 vessels with the same vessel traffic for Day 3 and all following days. The transit from Houston to Rotterdam takes 18 days outbound and 18 days empty return. With one day devoted to loading, and a further day to unloading, each vessel will spend 28 days on voyage. These figures make no allowance for vessel downtime for required maintenance intervals.

The transport of the required monthly volume of LNG will therefore require 705 QMAX x 31 days or total QMAX fleet of 21,855 vessels. Since the available yards are fully booked it is not clear when the full build out of the required fleet will occur. My experience in the offshore industry is that it takes approximately two years to construct an offshore drilling rig (MODU). The complexity of a QMAX may be slightly less than a MODU but even if construction were to require no more than a single year the required time to fleet completion would be 5,463 years if 4 yards were involved in the build out. At present the only yard competent in this vessel construction is in South Korea; the other three required yards would need to be upgraded, or new built. LNG tankers require a speciality steel to address thermal stress issues. This steel has a high nickel content; Russia is a major global supplier of nickel.

Since the EU has voiced the intention to fully eliminate the need for Russian LNG by the year 2030 the time to recover the investment in vessels and related LNG infrastructure is extremely limited. Within 8 years the EU seeks to fully replace the entire volume of LNG represented by Russian imports. The IEA Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Roadmap helps fulfil the European Green Deal, an ambitious plan to eliminate all FF emissions in 28 years.

In 2020, U.S. natural gas production was about 10% greater than U.S. total natural gas consumption. The volume of produced gas surplus to US demand amounts to 91.5 billion cubic feet per day or 2.5 billion cubic metres of natural gas per day. This surplus is already contracted to the following countries:

TOP 10 US EXPORT DESTINATIONS
SOUTH KOREA………………453,483
CHINA……………………449,667
JAPAN……………………354,948
BRAZIL…………………..307,714
SPAIN……………………215,062
INDIA……………………196,218
UK………………………195,046
TURKEY…………………..188,849
NL………………………174,339
FRANCE…………………..170,780

The US is therefore in the position of withdrawing supply from some of the above to punish them for lack of compliance to US demands and to reward vassal states. Looking at the list, which countries do you think will be disfavoured?

The full list of US foreign LNG exports by country is found here:
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/NG_MOVE_EXPC_S1_A.htm

Any commodity gravitates toward the highest price. The peak price is set by the marginal buyer. It is expected that the EU attempt to displace Russian LNG supply will be impossible to achieve in the short term without an extreme impact on price. These price impacts will not only affect EU consumers, they will impact all consumers including those in the US.

The EU will replace dependency on Russia by dependency on the “international rules based order” as interpreted by the global hegemon.

Mea Culpa – Review of Data

I utilized IEA figures for total LNG consumption in the EU and relied on an IEA statement that 45% of this LNG consumption was derived from Russian supply.

In fact Germany receives the majority of its Russian gas as pipeline NG. My error.

The EU presently has 37 operating LNG terminals and the IEA is reporting on LNG received via those terminals. Germany has at present no LNG terminals (3 proposed) but is believed able to obtain NG from an interconnection to the EU pipeline system. I have not yet found the supporting data but suspect some of the LNG unloaded in Rotterdam makes its way to Germany. 

Germany once benefited from the Groningen gas field. It was the depletion of Groningen and problems resulting from land subsidence and earthquakes associated with gas withdrawals (See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groningen_gas_field ) that resulted in a decision to cease gas extraction by 2022. This planned cessation has now been postponed until between 2025 and 2028.

The article at this link reports on German requests for additional supply of Dutch gas:
https://www.politico.eu/article/the-netherlands-earthshaking-gas-deal-with-germany/

Gas from the Groningen field has a low calorific value due to a high percentage of nitrogen. It therefore requires a distribution pipeline different from that for regular NG. According to the Politico article, Germany is seeking additional Dutch supply which suggests Germany has a connection to the Groningen gas distribution network. This would be a distribution network distinct from the EU NG pipeline system.

The implication of the correction is that I underestimates the total German demand for LNG imports to replace the existing flow of Russian pipeline NG which flow was not included in the cited IEA statistics for LNG.

The LNG volume is about 593 times less than the piped gas volume, resulting in a requirement for nine 266,000 m3 LNG containers per week to transport the RF supplied volume of 69.75 B m2 of gas over a year. Using a turn-around time of 9 weeks for loading, shipping to EU, unloading and returning to USA, – a spread-sheet indicates that 90 LNG vessles should do the trick. This includes an additional eight ships to cover for peaks, maintenance and other mishaps. So we are looking at a minimum of 90 man years to build the required LNG fleet.

Correction:

21,852 LNG shipments per month –> 81 LNG shipments per month
705 LNG shipments per day –> 2.6 LNG shipments per day
705 new LNG offloading ports –> 3 new LNG offloading ports
QMAX fleet of 21,855 vessels –> 91 vessels
Time to fleet completion 5,463 years –> 20 years

One First Step Towards Ruble Convertibility?

“The Bank of Russia, in order to ensure a balance of supply and demand in the domestic precious metals market, will buy gold from credit institutions at a fixed price starting from March 28, 2022. The price from March 28 to June 30, 2022 inclusive will be 5 thousand rubles per 1 gram, ” the press service of the Central Bank informed.”
https://www.banki.ru/news/lenta/?id=10963561

This is only a bid price price, not an ask price, between March 28th and June 30th. Gold can be sold to the central bank at that price in ruble, but nowhere does it say that the central bank has to do this without limit. The price is also significantly below the current spot price. This is not pegging the currency to gold, as that would require an explicit guarantee that rubles could be exchanged for gold at a fixed price, an ask price, the very opposite of what the Russian central bank is doing.

This IS NOT fixed convertibility, as that would require a fixed price for “on demand” conversion of rubles to gold. The central bank is buying gold at a fixed price, not selling at it. There is no fixed price convertibility.

Machine Translation:
From Monday, (Ed. Note – March 28, 2022) the Central Bank of the Russian Federation will resume buying gold from banks, while the precious metal will be purchased at a fixed price – it is scheduled for the next three months, follows from a message on the regulator’s website.
“In order to balance supply and demand in the domestic market of precious metals, the Bank of Russia will buy gold from credit institutions at a fixed price from March 28, 2022. The price from March 28 to June 30, 2022 inclusive will be 5 thousand rubles per 1 gram,” the press service of the Central Bank informed.
The regulator emphasizes that the established price level allows for a stable supply of gold and the smooth functioning of the gold mining industry this year.
After the specified period, the purchase price of gold can be adjusted taking into account the emerging balance of supply and demand in the domestic market.
Earlier, on March 15, 2022, the Central Bank suspended the purchase of gold from credit institutions to enable them to meet the demand of the population for this asset. The regulator then noted an increased demand from the population for the purchase of physical gold bullion, due, in particular, to the abolition of VAT on these transactions. In addition, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law allowing banks to sell gold bars to citizens for foreign currency.
The US this week expanded its anti-Russian sanctions list to include gold from CBR reserves, and the UK followed up by clarifying that its sanctions on transactions with Russian reserves extend to gold transactions. The Bank of Russia, commenting on the new sanctions, emphasized that all gold from the gold and foreign exchange reserves is located on the territory of the Russian Federation.