by Claudiu Secara

Just finished listening to Alastair Crooke’s interview on Danielle Cambone’s show. Big, dire statements about the future.

While Alastair Crooke is a seasoned observer of world events and takes a dispassionate approach to world conflicts, he is also fixated on certain old ideas. Maybe he also spends too much time reading RT.

One major shortcoming of his analysis is his steadfast assertion that the EU is “finished”. That’s certainly the Russian (promoted by Orban) line of propaganda. He talks about people demonstrating on the streets of Europe. Funny, when did we last see people on the streets of Moscow? Was it when Wagner group marched to the capital with a message of disagreement with Kremlin policy? Oh, yeah. And that was followed by the public execution of Prigozhin, up in the sky?

So, seriously, yes, there are organized demonstrations in the EU. Organized by the Russian fifth column. Organized by Israel to undermine the declared support of a Palestinian state. Organized by the MAGA occupation, spearheaded by Vice President Vance himself. And of course by fringe groups, from the left to the right, including the subsidized immigrants.

But the EU has an economy almost twice the size of the US, many times larger than Russia’s, with an educated population and skilled work force, and, quite important, with a low debt-to-GDP ratio, unlike the US or even China.

Given the convulsions that the new world order is undergoing, I do expect to see dramatic events in the near future. But in which direction?

I definitely see China as the big winner, undeniably. China’s technological advancement is way out front, unrivaled by any combination of the rest of the world. The US is the net loser, for now in a decline accelerated by Trumpist economics, from tariffs to bad-mouthing friend and foe alike (India being one example) by an inept egomaniac supporting the lost cause of Zionism.

Russia is muddling through, so far, due to centuries-old militarism. But that policy, based on military conquest and military threats to its neighbors, can only backfire. Is China actually happy to have a neighbor plotting to rule using its weapons rather than its entrepreneurial class? I don’t think so.

At the other end of its empire, are the Europeans comfortable with talk of obliteration of their capitals by Russia’s weapons of mass destruction? Are the Muslims OK with Russia betraying Syria, who was counting on the fickle bear?

I think that Russia will be struggling more and more, squeezed between China’s giant shadow and the assertive Europeans. Sell out to China or appease the demands of the newly coalescing pole in the newly coalescing multi polar world?

Another common assertion these days is the impending collapse of the Dollar. The critical word is collapse. Are we going to see a scenario like the Weimar collapse of the German Mark? Most likely, no. So, if not collapse, then maybe a realignment of sorts. That’s a matter of degree and a gradual erosion; not a catastrophic event. How the world will look two hundred years from now is anyone’s guess, but on the scale of a human lifetime, the Dollar remains one of the pillars of the world financial structure. Our friend Alastair Crooke expects dramatic restructuring, but Trump will be around only a few more years and his reckless bullying is already showing signs of imminent, lamentable defeat.

Trump might have gone to London to have a tête-à-tête with the King in the privacy of the royal carriage. But, although he left the King visibly upset and humiliated the poor man by walking 10 meters ahead, talking to a guard as if Charles was his majordomo, Trump failed in his agenda when all of Western Europe went on to announce their recognition of the Palestinian state. Trump is already a spent force, and his pageantry and mourning at the loss of Charley Kirk further sent the Trumpists onto the defensive.

The US will indeed hit the wall sooner rather than later, but the Anglosphere is still a formidable force, and once it overcomes its Zionist obsession, it is fair to expect the US to go back to its industrious roots and innovative thinking.